Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 2-7
Saint-Étienne vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASS
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 2
LYO
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 3
ASS
32%
28%
40%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
ANG
1 - 1
ASS
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
COV
0 - 4
IPS
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
IPS
3 - 1
WOL
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
3 - 3
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
IPS
1 - 0
MID
69%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
IPS
2 - 0
CHA
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |