Saint-Étienne vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 0
AJA
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ESW
1 - 1
ASS
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
ASS
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 2
LMU
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCG
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
FCG
2 - 2
CAE
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
FCG
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
FCG
2 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
ASB
0 - 1
FCG
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |