Saint-Étienne vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
38%
28%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
DIJ
0 - 0
ASS
37%
27%
37%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 0
LHA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
BRC
1 - 3
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
LUS
2 - 3
LHA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 1
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
USB
2 - 3
LUS
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANG
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |