Europa League 1/16
Global 0-4
Saint-Étienne vs Bohemians 1905 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1982 |
TOU
0 - 2
ASS
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
AUX
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
TAT
0 - 0
ASS
25%
26%
48%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1982 |
ASS
3 - 1
MET
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemians 1905
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
1 - 2
BOH
55%
20%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
BOH
5 - 0
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 0
BOH
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
BOH
0 - 1
VCF
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BOH
2 - 0
IPS
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +2 |