Saint-Étienne vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1983 |
GIR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCM
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
NAN
4 - 2
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
ASS
3 - 4
ASN
57%
23%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
LEN
4 - 2
ASS
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1983 |
BAS
0 - 0
FCR
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1983 |
TOU
0 - 1
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1983 |
SOC
2 - 1
BAS
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1983 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |