Saint-Étienne vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
MON
0 - 3
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 0
SOC
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ASN
0 - 0
ASS
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 1
STR
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
TRO
0 - 1
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 0
REI
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
MET
4 - 1
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |