Saint-Étienne vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1975 |
ASS
2 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
PSG
2 - 2
ASS
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
BYM
2 - 0
ASS
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
ASS
0 - 0
BYM
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1975 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
STR
3 - 2
BAS
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 0
RED
64%
22%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
NÎM
3 - 3
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |