Saint-Étienne vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
30.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
LYO
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
FCM
1 - 2
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
CAN
54%
25%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
GIR
1 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
54%
28%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
AUX
5 - 0
APO
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LIL
2 - 1
AUX
44%
29%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
AUX
3 - 0
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
SOC
0 - 0
AUX
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |