Saint-Étienne vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 3
ASS
28%
28%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 0
MPL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 2
ASS
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
0 - 0
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REI
2 - 2
ASS
32%
27%
40%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 1
REI
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
AJA
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 4
MON
21%
27%
53%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 1
AJA
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
GIR
21%
27%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |