Saint-Étienne vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
REI
0 - 0
ASS
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
VAL
0 - 1
ASS
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1973 |
ASS
1 - 1
RED
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1973 |
ASS
2 - 0
REN
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
3 - 1
VAL
51%
27%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1973 |
SOC
4 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
REI
0 - 0
AJA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 3
REN
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1973 |
MAR
3 - 0
AJA
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |