Saint-Étienne vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
4 - 0
MET
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
BAS
1 - 1
ASS
30%
23%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
NÎM
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
RED
0 - 0
ASS
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
STR
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 0
BAS
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
REN
5 - 0
AJA
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
4 - 1
LYO
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
NIC
0 - 3
AJA
68%
17%
16%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
AJA
1 - 0
NÎM
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |