Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-0
Saint-Étienne vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LAU
4 - 1
ASS
25%
28%
47%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
PSV
2 - 1
ASS
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 0
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
POG
0 - 3
AEK
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
WIG
0 - 1
AEK
21%
25%
55%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
KOR
0 - 2
AEK
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
AEK
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |