Europa League 1/32
Global 2-3
Saint-Étienne vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
MET
0 - 4
ASS
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
ASS
4 - 0
ANG
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
SOC
0 - 2
ASS
27%
25%
48%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
ASS
9 - 1
REI
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
NAN
4 - 3
ASS
31%
26%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
HER
1 - 1
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
KOL
1 - 2
F95
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
S04
6 - 2
KOL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
KOL
2 - 1
BVB
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |