Saint-Étienne U17 vs Castelnau Le Crès U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
3º
3º
33
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
6º
|
70.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
79.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 3
STN
10%
15%
74%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STN
0 - 2
NIC
64%
19%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 3
STN
28%
21%
51%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STN
2 - 0
SPR
79%
13%
8%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
ASP
0 - 5
STN
12%
16%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Castelnau Le Crès U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
6 - 1
CAS
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
SPR
80%
12%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 3
MON
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
CAS
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |