Saint-Étienne II vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 3
SAE
59%
24%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAE
4 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SAE
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAE
3 - 1
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BEZ
2 - 1
SAE
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TAR
3 - 0
ALB
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
TAR
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TAR
0 - 0
AGD
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 0
GDB
53%
26%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |