Saint-Étienne II vs Olympique Lyonnais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
12º
4º
38
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
SAE
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 0
ESM
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FEU
1 - 2
SAE
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAE
2 - 0
HAL
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAE
2 - 1
SAI
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 5
SAI
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAU
1 - 2
OLY
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 0
OLY
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
OVA
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
OLY
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |