Saint-Étienne II vs Olympique de Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
12º
4º
24
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CLE
3 - 0
SAE
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAE
2 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 0
SAE
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
SAE
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique de Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
OVA
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAU
3 - 3
OVA
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 2
OVA
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
1 - 3
CLE
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
OVA
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | +1 |