Saint-Étienne II vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAE
5 - 0
FEU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ECH
0 - 0
SAE
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAE
4 - 1
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAE
5 - 1
SUD
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
AND
1 - 0
SAE
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
GAZ
3 - 0
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
FCM
0 - 2
MAR
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
AGD
45%
28%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |