Saint-Étienne II vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
10º
13º
10º
6
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
7 | 59 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 43 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 37 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 28 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 26 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 11 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
35.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAE
3 - 0
CDE
74%
16%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
SAE
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
SAE
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 2
VAU
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 2
SAE
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 0
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
FCS
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
MAC
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOB
2 - 2
MAC
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
BRC
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |