Saint-Étienne II vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
13º
8º
24
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
24 | 50 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 45 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 22 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 22 |
14º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70.5% | 59.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
2 - 2
SAE
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAE
1 - 3
MAC
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAE
3 - 0
CDE
74%
16%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
SAE
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
SAE
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 1
CLE
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DIJ
5 - 1
LYO
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 0
LYO
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 3
AIN
81%
13%
5%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 1
LYO
6%
15%
79%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |