Saint-Étienne II vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 5
SAE
25%
24%
51%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SAE
3 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AND
1 - 0
SAE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAE
3 - 0
DIJ
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAE
40%
26%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 3
EVI
48%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
2 - 0
MOU
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AUX
1 - 0
FCG
64%
21%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FCG
1 - 0
LPV
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CSL
1 - 3
FCG
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |