Saint-Étienne II vs Chambéry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
12º
4º
47
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AIN
0 - 0
SAE
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 1
LYO
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 0
SAE
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAE
0 - 2
LIM
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
0 - 1
SAE
8%
14%
78%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Chambéry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
SAI
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VAU
0 - 1
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
OVA
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 1
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |