Saint-Étienne II vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
YTR
1 - 2
SAE
8%
15%
76%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAE
0 - 0
BEB
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAE
2 - 1
MON
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SAE
2 - 1
BAS
64%
20%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LIM
0 - 2
SAE
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BEB
0 - 2
AUR
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 1
LIM
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
AUR
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 1
CLE
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
AUR
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |