Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Pau FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
14º
14º
42
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Estève Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CRF
3 - 1
SEP
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
1 - 4
CAS
16%
20%
65%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 0
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LES
5 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SPS
0 - 0
FCP
12%
17%
71%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
ONE
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 3
FCP
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
CRF
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |