Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
14º
14º
48
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Estève Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 0
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LES
5 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 2
LEG
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GDB
2 - 2
SEP
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 0
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
27%
22%
50%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
POI
0 - 3
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |