Saint-Estève Perpignan vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
11º
14º
14º
48
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Estève Perpignan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 0
SEP
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LES
5 - 1
SEP
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 2
LEG
24%
22%
55%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
GDB
2 - 2
SEP
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 0
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
27%
22%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
POI
0 - 3
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
BLA
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 2
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 0
LES
44%
27%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |