Saint-Dizier vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
19.6%
72.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 1
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
REN
3 - 1
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
SOC
1 - 2
LEN
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |