St Aubin Guerande vs Revel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
74.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Revel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
USR
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
USR
1 - 1
BLA
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SAI
3 - 0
USR
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
USR
2 - 2
TOU
28%
26%
47%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
USR
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |