Saint-Apollinaire vs US Cosne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
11º
35
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
APO
2 - 1
FCG
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
APO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 3
JUR
31%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DIJ
0 - 1
APO
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 2
FCG
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
DIJ
34%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 2
UNI
35%
22%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
MON
54%
20%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 2
PFC
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 0
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |