Saint-Apollinaire vs Selongey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
11º
48
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
APO
3 - 2
PON
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 2
APO
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
APO
2 - 2
UNI
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
APO
2 - 1
FCG
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
APO
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Selongey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SEL
0 - 1
FCG
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PON
2 - 1
SEL
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SEL
2 - 0
MON
51%
23%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SOC
0 - 1
SEL
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SEL
1 - 0
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |