Saint-Apollinaire vs Mâcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
59.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
11º
54
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
APO
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
APO
0 - 3
SEL
49%
22%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
APO
3 - 2
PON
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 2
APO
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
APO
2 - 2
UNI
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mâcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
8 - 0
QUE
90%
8%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
FCG
59%
20%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BFC
2 - 4
MAC
44%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
JUR
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
DIJ
3 - 2
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |