Saint-Apollinaire vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
12º
11º
33
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 1
APO
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 3
JUR
31%
23%
47%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DIJ
0 - 1
APO
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 2
FCG
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 0
APO
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCG
3 - 1
QUE
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PON
2 - 0
FCG
49%
25%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 2
JUR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
2 - 1
SOC
41%
26%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 0
SEL
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |