Saint Andrews vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
69.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Andrews
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
SAI
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
2 - 3
TAR
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FLO
3 - 1
SAI
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
3 - 1
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 1
SAI
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 0
QOR
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 4
BIR
12%
20%
69%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BIR
2 - 1
SLI
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -4 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 2
BIR
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +4 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
BIR
0 - 1
FLO
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |