St Albans Saints vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.2%
78.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
18.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Albans Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 0
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
3 - 0
STA
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
OAK
3 - 2
STA
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 0
STA
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HEU
6 - 0
STA
82%
13%
6%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SOU
1 - 3
AVH
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
POR
2 - 3
SOU
21%
25%
55%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
DAC
0 - 4
SOU
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SOU
3 - 0
GRE
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 2
SOU
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |