Saint-Alban vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Alban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
0 - 1
SAI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 2
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
STA
1 - 1
SAI
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 0
SAG
47%
26%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NAR
4 - 1
SAI
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
LOR
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 2
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BER
1 - 0
STA
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 0
BER
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |