Saint-Alban vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Alban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LEG
1 - 0
SAI
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BER
2 - 1
SAI
51%
24%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 4
AUR
40%
27%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TOU
2 - 0
SAI
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SAI
3 - 3
NAR
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 2
BAL
50%
26%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
NIM
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SAI
1 - 4
AUR
40%
27%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
VIC
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
AUR
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |