Sagreño vs Esquivias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
71%
18%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
2 - 0
HOR
58%
22%
21%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 3
ATA
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 1
TOR
49%
22%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
2 - 1
YUN
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Esquivias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
YEP
1 - 1
ESQ
12%
19%
70%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ESQ
1 - 0
CON
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 1
ESQ
7%
16%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ESQ
0 - 0
ATA
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ESQ
4 - 1
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |