Sagawa Shiga vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
SAG
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SAG
1 - 1
JEF
52%
23%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
YSC
1 - 3
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 1
SON
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SAG
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VVA
3 - 1
FUJ
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
VVA
1 - 0
YOK
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 2
VVA
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
PAR
41%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
1 - 0
VVA
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |