Sagawa Shiga vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagawa Shiga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
YSC
1 - 3
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
3 - 1
SON
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HON
2 - 2
SAG
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 2
SAG
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SAG
6 - 0
KGU
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
JEF
2 - 0
THE
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EHI
2 - 2
JEF
25%
28%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOK
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
0 - 3
GIR
62%
23%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
KAT
2 - 0
JEF
17%
26%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |