Sagan Tosu vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KAA
1 - 2
SAG
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
SAG
64%
19%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
JUB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SAG
2 - 0
CER
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SHI
6 - 4
SAG
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
URA
1 - 3
KAW
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VEG
3 - 3
URA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
URA
0 - 1
KAR
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
URA
2 - 1
KAR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KAA
1 - 2
URA
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |