Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 0
GIF
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 2
EHI
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
GIR
0 - 0
SAG
16%
25%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 1
TOK
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MIT
0 - 5
SAG
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
JEF
2 - 2
TOC
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 1
GIR
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
SHO
0 - 2
TOC
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 0
MIT
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 4
TOC
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |