Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
KAT
2 - 1
SAG
20%
26%
55%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
SAG
3 - 2
GIR
68%
21%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
YOK
4 - 0
SAG
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
SAG
3 - 0
GIF
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
OIT
3 - 4
SAG
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 2
AVI
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
TOC
2 - 0
GIF
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
ROA
0 - 2
TOC
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TOC
1 - 0
KAT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
YOK
0 - 2
TOC
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |