Sagan Tosu vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIF
0 - 1
SAG
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
0 - 1
ROA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 0
SAG
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
TOK
1 - 1
SAG
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
SAG
4 - 3
SHO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
3 - 3
VEN
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VEG
1 - 0
TOC
64%
22%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 0
TOK
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
EHI
0 - 0
TOC
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 0
FAG
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |