Sagan Tosu vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
YOK
1 - 2
SAG
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 2
KAA
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 2
JUB
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 0
ALB
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 0
SAG
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
TMF
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TMF
1 - 0
GRU
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TMF
3 - 0
TUK
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GIR
0 - 1
TMF
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAR
3 - 0
TMF
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |