Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
YOK
0 - 0
SAG
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SAG
1 - 0
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 2
FCT
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
AVI
1 - 3
SAG
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ROA
0 - 2
SHO
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ROA
2 - 1
THE
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
EHI
2 - 1
ROA
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ROA
6 - 3
SAG
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
BLA
2 - 2
ROA
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |