Sagan Tosu vs Renofa Yamaguchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CON
5 - 3
SAG
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 1
URA
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KAA
3 - 0
SAG
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SAG
1 - 4
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SAG
0 - 2
GAM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FUJ
3 - 0
REN
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REN
4 - 3
TOC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
OIT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
JSC
0 - 3
REN
6%
14%
80%
|
61 | 12 | 49 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 0
REN
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |