Sagan Tosu vs Nagoya Grampus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 0
SAG
52%
23%
26%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
5 - 4
KAW
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAA
29%
29%
41%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
FCY
1 - 0
SAG
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 1
NAG
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
URA
1 - 0
NAG
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NAG
1 - 1
JUB
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NAG
0 - 0
FCY
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |