Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAG
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 0
KAA
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 3
SAG
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
SAG
0 - 0
NAG
65%
21%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
SAG
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
KAW
4 - 0
VEN
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SHO
2 - 3
KAW
10%
18%
72%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCT
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 1
KAW
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
KAW
3 - 2
ALB
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |