Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
VEN
0 - 0
SAG
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SAG
4 - 1
URA
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KAA
1 - 2
SAG
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
SAG
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 0
JUB
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KAW
1 - 0
FCY
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
OIT
0 - 1
KAW
12%
20%
69%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
URA
1 - 3
KAW
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
KAW
2 - 0
MON
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
KAW
2 - 0
SHI
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |