Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ROA
2 - 1
SAG
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 1
AVI
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 1
YOK
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 2
SAG
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CON
3 - 3
SAG
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kataller Toyama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 2
GIF
48%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 1
KAT
28%
27%
44%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 1
CER
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
VEN
1 - 0
KAT
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 1
KAT
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |