Sagan Tosu vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
76.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.3%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
FCY
1 - 0
SAG
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
KAW
1 - 0
SAG
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
VEG
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAG
1 - 1
KAR
33%
24%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
SAG
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 0
JUB
9%
17%
75%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 5
FCY
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
JUB
9%
19%
72%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
JUB
1 - 0
VEN
86%
11%
4%
|
62 | 27 | 35 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 1
JUB
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |